Saturday, January 22, 2011

Path Is Sought for States to Escape Debt Burdens

Plans being drawn up to let states declare bankruptcy

Pensioners and investors in state bonds could lose out


Chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee Sen. John Cornyn joins fellow GOP leaders for a news conference in the U.S. Capitol Jan. 6 in Washington, DC. (©Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Senator John Cornyn, a Texas Republican, has asked the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben Bernanke, about the possibility of drawing up a bill allowing states to go bankrupt.

By MARY WILLIAMS WALSH
The New York Times
updated 1/21/2011 7:39:56 AM ET 2011-01-21T12:39:56

Policy makers are working behind the scenes to come up with a way to let states declare bankruptcy and get out from under crushing debts, including the pensions they have promised to retired public workers.

Unlike cities, the states are barred from seeking protection in federal bankruptcy court. Any effort to change that status would have to clear high constitutional hurdles because the states are considered sovereign.

But proponents say some states are so burdened that the only feasible way out may be bankruptcy, giving Illinois, for example, the opportunity to do what General Motors did with the federal government’s aid.

Beyond their short-term budget gaps, some states have deep structural problems, like insolvent pension funds, that are diverting money from essential public services like education and health care.

Some members of Congress fear that it is just a matter of time before a state seeks a bailout, say bankruptcy lawyers who have been consulted by Congressional aides.

Bankruptcy could permit a state to alter its contractual promises to retirees, which are often protected by state constitutions, and it could provide an alternative to a no-strings bailout.

Along with retirees, however, investors in a state’s bonds could suffer, possibly ending up at the back of the line as unsecured creditors.

“All of a sudden, there’s a whole new risk factor,” said Paul S. Maco, a partner at the firm Vinson & Elkins who was head of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s Office of Municipal Securities during the Clinton administration.

For now, the fear of destabilizing the municipal bond market with the words “state bankruptcy” has proponents in Congress going about their work on tiptoe.

No draft bill yet

No draft bill is in circulation yet, and no member of Congress has come forward as a sponsor, although Senator John Cornyn, a Texas Republican, asked the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, about the possibility in a hearing this month.

House Republicans, and Senators from both parties, have taken an interest in the issue, with nudging from bankruptcy lawyers and a former House speaker, Newt Gingrich, who could be a Republican presidential candidate.

It would be difficult to get a bill through Congress, not only because of the constitutional questions and the complexities of bankruptcy law, but also because of fears that even talk of such a law could make the states’ problems worse.

Lawmakers might decide to stop short of a full-blown bankruptcy proposal and establish instead some sort of oversight panel for distressed states, akin to the Municipal Assistance Corporation, which helped New York City during its fiscal crisis of 1975.

Still, discussions about something as far-reaching as bankruptcy could give governors and others more leverage in bargaining with unionized public workers.

“They are readying a massive assault on us,” said Charles M. Loveless, legislative director of the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees. “We’re taking this very seriously.”

Mr. Loveless said he was meeting with potential allies on Capitol Hill, making the point that certain states might indeed have financial problems, but public employees and their benefits were not the cause.

The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities released a report on Thursday warning against a tendency to confuse the states’ immediate budget gaps with their long-term structural deficits.

“States have adequate tools and means to meet their obligations,” the report stated.

No state is known to want to declare bankruptcy, and some question the wisdom of offering them the ability to do so now, given the jitters in the normally staid municipal bond market.

Slightly more than $25 billion has flowed out of mutual funds that invest in muni bonds in the last two months, according to the Investment Company Institute.

Many analysts say they consider a bond default by any state extremely unlikely, but they also say that when politicians take an interest in the bond market, surprises are apt to follow.

Mr. Maco said the mere introduction of a state bankruptcy bill could lead to “some kind of market penalty,” even if it never passed. That “penalty” might be higher borrowing costs for a state and downward pressure on the value of its bonds. Individual bondholders would not realize any losses unless they sold.

Last-minute plea for cash?

But institutional investors in municipal bonds, like insurance companies, are required to keep certain levels of capital. And they might retreat from additional investments. A deeply troubled state could eventually be priced out of the capital markets.

“The precipitating event at G.M. was they were out of cash and had no ability to raise the capital they needed,” said Harry J. Wilson, the lone Republican on President Obama’s special auto task force, which led G.M. and Chrysler through an unusual restructuring in bankruptcy, financed by the federal government.

Mr. Wilson, who ran an unsuccessful campaign for New York State comptroller last year, has said he believes that New York and some other states need some type of a financial restructuring.

He noted that G.M. was salvaged only through an administration-led effort that Congress initially resisted, with legislators voting against financial assistance to G.M. in late 2008.

“Now Congress is much more conservative,” he said. “A state shows up and wants cash, Congress says no, and it will probably be at the last minute and it’s a real problem. That’s what I’m concerned about.”

Discussion of a new bankruptcy option for the states appears to have taken off in November, after Mr. Gingrich gave a speech about the country’s big challenges, including government debt and an uncompetitive labor market.

“We just have to be honest and clear about this, and I also hope the House Republicans are going to move a bill in the first month or so of their tenure to create a venue for state bankruptcy,” he said.

A few weeks later, David A. Skeel, a law professor at the University of Pennsylvania, published an article, “Give States a Way to Go Bankrupt,” in The Weekly Standard. It said thorny constitutional questions were “easily addressed” by making sure states could not be forced into bankruptcy or that federal judges could usurp states’ lawmaking powers.

“I have never had anything I’ve written get as much attention as that piece,” said Mr. Skeel, who said he had since been contacted by Republicans and Democrats whom he declined to name.

Fear of bankruptcy 'panic'

Mr. Skeel said it was possible to envision how bankruptcy for states might work by looking at the existing law for local governments. Called Chapter 9, it gives distressed municipalities a period of debt-collection relief, which they can use to restructure their obligations with the help of a bankruptcy judge.

Unfunded pensions become unsecured debts in municipal bankruptcy and may be reduced. And the law makes it easier for a bankrupt city to tear up its labor contracts than for a bankrupt company, said James E. Spiotto, head of the bankruptcy practice at Chapman & Cutler in Chicago.

The biggest surprise may await the holders of a state’s general obligation bonds. Though widely considered the strongest credit of any government, they can be treated as unsecured credits, subject to reduction, under Chapter 9.

Mr. Spiotto said he thought bankruptcy court was not a good avenue for troubled states, and he has designed an alternative called the Public Pension Funding Authority. It would have mandatory jurisdiction over states that failed to provide sufficient funding to their workers’ pensions or that were diverting money from essential public services.

“I’ve talked to some people from Congress, and I’m going to talk to some more,” he said. “This effort to talk about Chapter 9, I’m worried about it. I don’t want the states to have to pay higher borrowing costs because of a panic that they might go bankrupt. I don’t think it’s the right thing at all. But it’s the beginning of a dialog.”

This article, headlined " Path Is Sought for States to Escape Debt Burdens," first appeared in The New York Times.

Comment:

Comrades, when an individual working class person is drowning in debt, bankruptcy may be the solution. After all, the banks have no compunction about screwing us over when it suits them, so we should not feel guilty about getting out of our debts through any legal means necessary.

If a state were to declare bankruptcy, that's different. Why? It's true that it would relieve the state's debts to banks, finance companies, and other big corporations. Unfortunately, the working class gets screwed as well. But what's unusual about that? We've always gotten the shaft since the day money was first invented. The White Working Class has more to lose than anyone. But it's the same old story. Nothing changes.

If states are allowed to declare bankruptcy, you can kiss your pensions goodbye. I'm not talking about the big boys in the state government. They're all well to do and can easily go without their pensions. But what about the average state worker? They worked their entire lives for the state, and this is their reward. "Sorry everyone. The state is broke so you get no pensions. BTW, have a nice retirement." That just made me think. If California declares bankruptcy, and if this bill passes and is not declared unconstitutional, you better bloody well believe they will, do you suppose Governor Clown will forfeit his pensions? Remember, having held several political offices, he has several pensions coming to him.

How about people who invested in state bonds? They trusted their states with their savings, and now they're getting the shaft. Personally, I say anyone who buys state bonds deserves to lose their money. Investing with the state is investing in nothing but incompetence and corruption. You have as much chance of coming out ahead as you do playing roulette. Well this time, every one's number is coming up black 13.

California, like most other states refuses to live within it's means. For every dollar California takes in, it spends $1.50. This is unsustainable, and inevitably will end up in total collapse. If California gets a bankruptcy, will it change it's ways? I doubt it. Not only will reckless spending continue, but it will increase. It's the same with people. How many of you live pay-check-to-pay-check? Then you get a big raise. Do you save the extra money? Of course not! Now you can afford that new SUV you've been wanting, and you're back to living pay-check-to-pay-check again. Of course, you work hard. You deserve nice things, right? WRONG! You only deserve them if they are within your means. If you have to live month-to-month, then you're living beyond your means, and you're setting yourself up for disaster. We all deserve nice things. I deserve a nice new Harley. I can't afford one, so I don't have one. Hell, I even had to sell my 20 year old Sportster because I couldn't afford the repair bills, and I wasn't about to just let it sit in my shed for perhaps years before I could come up with the $2000 for repairs. I live within my means. After Christmas expenses, I owe about $400. How much do you owe?

Remember, except for emergencies like car repairs, medical expenses, and children's necessities, if you can't afford to pay cash, then you can't afford it in the first place. The federal and state governments live on credit. They borrow from Peter to pay Paul, make interest only payments, and keep on charging. That's plain crazy! Eventually, you'll run out of credit, yet your creditors will still want their minimum payments, and you'll have no credit to borrow from Peter to pay Paul. That means financial collapse. That's exactly how the government works, and unless they change their ways, they are doomed to permanent financial disaster.

Our Fuhrer created a stable German currency, and a sound national economy. Germany lived within their means. If they couldn't make something themselves, then they did without. They freed themselves from the Judeo-Capitalist banksters. That's why it was imperative to people like the infamous Rothschild banking cartel that National Socialism be destroyed at all costs. For the most part, they succeeded. Now look at the results. The world is more enslaved to them through financial debt than ever before. It seems that very few ever learn from their mistakes.

"Those who do not remember the past, are condemned to relive it." - Santyana.

6 comments:

  1. There is one thing Dan forgot to mention. If you do declare bankruptcy, you can't do it again for 8 years. At least it's 8 years here in California. I don't know about the rest of the country. So when he says you have to live within your means, you better do it or else you'll be right back where you started from real quick.

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  2. Chairman Suhayda has been writing in his ANPReports for years, that this Judeo-Capitalist system is imploding. I guess that he must have had a crystal ball or something. If anything, this makes NS efforts to awaken the masses a whole lot easier... Zog will find little loyality amongst its employees when the pump runs dry.

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  3. Loyalty?! You have that one right. If ZOG takes away their pensions and/or pay, their little trained minions might just lynch them out of "loyalty".

    I just hope I'm around to witness that.

    BTW, I think Rock does have a crystal ball. He probably inherited it from Commander Rockwell. The commander was also right in all of his predictions. The only thing Rockwell got wrong was the timetable. He said things would be this bad by the end of the 1970's. It did take a little longer than he thought, but we have come to the brink of collapse, just like he said.

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  4. -------------------------------------January 22, 2011 at 8:48 PM

    Sorry about forgetting the eight years before another bankruptcy thing. My bad.

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  5. Lets not forget that it was the Republirats, who the first time Bush held all three branches of government, that in Jan. one of the first things that they pushed through was a change in bankrupcy law, making it much more difficult for Joe Q Public to file... Lets face it, this system serves itself, not the people.

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  6. No argument there.

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